Now that the Democrats have taken over the U.S. House of Representatives as well as the U.S. Senate, the Bush agenda will not be able to be perpetrated untethered.
The Dems will not be so audacious as to leave Iraq while it's at its worst. Instead of withdrawing, in order to control the situation, it makes much more sense to increase the troop presence. The expulsion of Donald Rumsfeld has made this notion possible, especially since Rumsfeld's leaner meaner army idea has not been able to complete the mission. The mission being bringing stability to the country.
It's a shame. Had Rumsfeld been able to create stability in the country with his leaner meaner lighter faster army, it would create a suitable base comparable to Kuwait. The US probably assumed that Iraq would yield as nicely as the Kuwaities did. Problem is, Kuwait is a rich country a fraction of the size with much less poverty... virtually none compared to Iraq. Their liberation was legitimate; Iraq's liberation was not one of saving Iraqis from an external invader. In any case, the war with Iran, which will come soon, will be much harder to fight while having to worry about the Iraq front.
Iran has developed some very powerful, conventional weapons. One of these weapons includes a rifle which can spot an enemy seven, SEVEN kilometres away. There is also a rifle they have developed which can pierce armour from three kilometres away. They have developed anti-helicopter gunship missile technology. This is something that would be strategically important against the United States considering that the U.S. entrusts much faith into its faithful attack helicopters. Iran also has an extensive Navy, which is equally important.
The U.S. can now take this opportunity to meet with Iran and develop a business partnership. This will not happen because the U.S. requires control of the oilfields of Iran.
Iran, Russia, and China all have economic, political, and military partnerships with each other. Should something occur to Iran, I'm sure that Russia, a former enemy, and China, a former enemy, would not sit idly by.
Something to keep in mind: Iran has extensive anti-ship warfare technology, as does China. China has a military that is capable of striking most countries and wiping them off the face of the planet. They would even give the U.S. a run for its money, but they wouldn't dare battle the Americans' technology. However, with the U.S. capacity to wage war slowly dissipating with their troop coverage being spread thin, China's capability to wage war versus Taiwan without an extensive U.S. response could create an appropriate opportunity benefit for the Chinese final takeover of Taiwan.
Same goes with North Korea.
The day that you should see in the news the sinking of a US Air Carrier... be prepared for the worst - The shit hitting the fan. Right now, it's just a drizzle of bad gas so-to-speak...
That is my prediction.
Labels: War